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Market evolution: Halogenated acyclic alcohols (CN 290559) — 2015–2025

Introduction

This report analyses the trade dynamics of the EU for the combined customs code CN 290559 ("Halogenated, sulphonated, nitrated or nitrosated derivatives of acyclic alcohols", excluding ethchlorvynol) over the period from January 2015 to December 2025. The analysis is based on annual trade data for the European Union with non-EU countries, focusing on identifying key trends in volumes, values, prices, market structure, and the EU's strategic trade position. The product is a residual category within the organic chemicals sector, bundling specific derivatives like 2,2-Bis(bromomethyl)propanediol with other various halogenated or otherwise modified acyclic alcohols.

A Strategic Shift: Declining Volumes, Rising Values, and Divergent Price Trajectories

Over the 2015–2025 period, EU trade in CN 290559 underwent a fundamental transformation. While the total value of trade remained relatively robust, it masked a dramatic decline in traded volumes, particularly on the export side. This divergence indicates a market moving towards higher-value, lower-volume products or significant price inflation.

Export volumes contracted sharply while prices surged

EU export volumes for CN 290559 fell dramatically from 5,183.2 tonnes in 2015 to 2,028.1 tonnes in 2025, a drop of 60.9% (General Overview). In stark contrast, the average export price more than tripled, rising from €2,452 per tonne to €6,382 per tonne (+160.2%). This price increase was sufficient to keep export values relatively stable, with a modest overall gain of 2.1% to €13.0 million. The most pronounced price peak occurred in 2024, when the average export price reached €9,121 per tonne.

Import volumes also decreased, but with a slower price climb

EU imports followed a similar, though less extreme, pattern. Import quantities decreased from 4,971.4 tonnes in 2015 to 3,636.0 tonnes in 2025 (-26.9%). The average import price increased by 17.6% over the period, from €8,093 per tonne to €9,521 per tonne. However, the combined effect of lower volumes and only moderate price growth led to a 13.9% decline in the total import value, from €40.3 million to €34.7 million.

The trade deficit narrowed, driven by collapsing exports and more moderate import trends

The EU has consistently run a trade deficit in this product category. The deficit peaked at -€46.9 million in 2018, driven by a combination of high import values (€59.6 million) and relatively lower export values (€12.7 million). By 2025, the deficit had narrowed significantly to -€21.7 million, an improvement of 21.3% from 2015. This improvement is primarily attributable to the steeper decline in import values compared to the stable (but not growing) export value.

Table: Summary of EU Trade in CN 290559 (2015 vs. 2025)

Indicator 2015 2025 % Change (2015–2025)
Exports Value (€ million) 12.7 13.0 +2.1%
Exports Quantity (tonnes) 5,183.2 2,028.1 -60.9%
Exports Price (€/t) 2,452.2 6,381.8 +160.2%
Imports Value (€ million) 40.3 34.7 -13.9%
Imports Quantity (tonnes) 4,971.4 3,636.0 -26.9%
Imports Price (€/t) 8,092.8 9,520.7 +17.6%
Trade Balance (€ million) -27.5 -21.7 +21.3% (improvement)

Source: General Overview

Partner Realignments: The Waning Influence of Japan and the Rise of India and China

The geographic composition of EU trade for CN 290559 shifted substantially between 2015 and 2025. Traditional suppliers lost market share, while emerging economies gained prominence, particularly on the import side.

EU import sources consolidated around China and India

China solidified its position as the dominant supplier to the EU, increasing its share of import value from €13.5 million in 2015 to €17.8 million in 2025 (+32.2%). The most dramatic shift was the rise of India, which grew from a minor supplier (€1.4 million) to the second-largest, with import values reaching €9.3 million in 2025 (+548.7%). Conversely, Japan's exports to the EU collapsed by 72.0%, and Israel's fell by 96.6%. This consolidation is reflected in the rising Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) for imports by value, which increased from 3,257 to 3,630, indicating a more concentrated supplier base.

EU export destinations saw major declines in key markets

The United States remained the top destination for EU exports but with significantly reduced values, falling by 50.2% to €2.0 million. The most dramatic decline was in exports to Indonesia, which plummeted by 98.0%. Meanwhile, exports to India bucked the trend, growing by 260.2% to become a key market worth €1.7 million. The United Kingdom also remained a stable and significant market, with export values increasing by 11.2% to €3.0 million.

Table: Evolution of Top EU Trade Partners for CN 290559 by Value (€ million)

Partner (Imports) 2015 2025 % Change Partner (Exports) 2015 2025 % Change
China 13.5 17.8 +32.2% United States 4.0 2.0 -50.2%
Japan 15.5 4.4 -72.0% United Kingdom 2.7 3.0 +11.2%
Israel 5.3 0.2 -96.6% India 0.5 1.7 +260.2%
India 1.4 9.3 +548.7% Taiwan 0.8 0.4 -55.0%
United Kingdom 0.8 2.0 +154.7% Indonesia 0.7 <0.01 -98.0%

Source: Top Partners by Value

Structural Change: Towards a Less Vulnerable, More Specialised EU Position

Several underlying structural indicators reveal a fundamental change in the EU's relationship with this product market, characterized by decreased import dependency and increased specialisation in production.

Net import reliance declined significantly

The EU's net import reliance fell sharply from 70.5% in 2015 to 42.9% in 2025 (-39.2%). This metric, which measures the proportion of domestic consumption met by imports, hit a low of 30.1% in 2021. The decline indicates that the EU has become less vulnerable to external supply disruptions and has likely developed greater domestic capacity or reduced consumption.

Domestic production became more value-focused

EU production data supports this shift. While production volume (measured in kilograms) decreased by 26.5% from 5.4 million kg to 4.0 million kg, the production value increased by 30.1% from €15.4 million to €20.0 million. This mirrors the trend in trade data and suggests that EU producers are focusing on higher-margin, specialty derivatives rather than commodity volumes.

Market concentration and specialisation patterns evolved

The concentration of EU exports by destination (HHI by value) decreased from 1,630 to 1,197, indicating a more diversified customer base. In terms of member state specialisation, Slovakia emerged as the most specialised EU exporter in 2025 (RSCA of 0.83), followed by Spain (0.70). Germany remained the largest exporter by value but with a relatively low specialisation index (RSCA of 0.06), reflecting its broad chemical industrial base.

Conclusion

The EU trade landscape for halogenated acyclic alcohols (CN 290559) between 2015 and 2025 is defined by a strategic pivot. The bloc traded significantly lower physical volumes but at substantially higher prices, particularly in exports, leading to a stable export value and a reduced trade deficit. Import patterns consolidated around China and India as primary suppliers, while the EU's own dependency on imports for domestic consumption fell markedly. This structural shift, supported by data on domestic production, suggests a move away from high-volume trade towards a more specialised, high-value segment of the market. The dynamics reflect broader trends of value-chain upgrading and regional rebalancing within the global fine chemicals industry.

Generated on 2026-08-07. Figures reflect Eurostat data at generation time and do not include later revisions.

Auto-generated: this report is meant to accelerate, but not to replace, human analysis.

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